Monday, April 2, 2012

Mixed Emotions About the New Contract for Matt Cain


            Let me be the first to say that I am glad the Giants gave Matt Cain a new contract. He has been a great pitcher for the Giants organization and was instrumental in the Giants winning its first World Series in San Francisco.  I still have not forgotten the fact that he didn’t give up a postseason run during the Giants run to a World Series victory in 2010. Losing him would have been hard for us Giant fans.

            Having said that, I talked previously about the consequences Cain’s contract would have on negotiations for a new contract for Tim Lincecum. As you probably already know Lincecum is under contract through the 2013 season. After that he can leave the team as a free agent. Cain’s contract is certain to determine how much Lincecum is going to demand from the Giants. With the contract that was just signed by Cain, I am concerned about the value of it. Cain will be getting paid 20 million dollars annually during the length of the contract. At 112.5 million dollars, the contract is a record setting contract for a right handed pitcher. That is a lot of money to be giving to a pitcher who is not even the ace of your team and has never won a Cy Young award. The Giants have now set the bar so high for the value of a pitcher that Lincecum is probably going to demand between 25 to 30 million dollars a year and rightfully so. That is a lot of money that the Giants would end up paying for just two pitchers if the team gives Lincecum what he wants. So unless the Giants plan on raising their payroll, they will have a hard time signing new free agents and resigning their own players. Luckily, the Giants will have Aaron Rowand’s 12 million dollar contract off the books after this season and Barry Zito’s contract will be finished after the 2013 season. Even though the Giants are now going to pay Cain 20 million dollars a year, I still believe the team should put the same effort at keeping Lincecum even if it means paying him 25 plus million dollars a year. Luckily, Lincecum is still under contract for two more years and the Giants could worry about his contract at a future date.

            On the other hand, I am pleased with the length of Cain’s contract. I previously said that the Giants should only give Cain around five years on his deal. Five years is what Matt Cain was signed for, although there is a team option for a sixth year. That is reasonable for a pitcher like Cain and it means that Lincecum will probably ask for a seven to eight year deal. That is better though than giving Cain a seven year deal and then being forced to give Lincecum a ten year deal. Cain is only 27 years old so he will be 33 years old when the contract ends after the 2017 season. That means he will not be too old for a pitcher when the deal ends and he should still be young enough where injuries will not break him down. However, Cain is built like a pitcher who can have a long career so injuries shouldn’t be a concern. Cain has been a very durable pitcher during his career and I don’t see that changing. A strong pitching body is the one thing that Cain has over Lincecum and maybe that is the leverage the Giants hope to use against Lincecum in contract negotiations.

            Overall, I am just happy that Cain and Lincecum will be together for at least another two years. I am concerned about the money being given to Cain, but the Giants are a wealthy team. They should have no problem raising their payroll considering the team always has sold out crowds at AT&T Park. It could have been worse. We could have lost Cain to free agency after this season and that would have put more pressure on the Giants to bring back Lincecum. Now the team can breathe easily until the next offseason when the Giants will seek to give Lincecum a new contract. When that time comes, the Giants must be smart and give Lincecum what he wants just like they gave Cain what he wants.

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